Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000785 0.000841 0.000899 0.000966 0.001039 0.001118 0.001209
2026-01-04 0.000682 0.000755 0.000835 0.000930 0.001041 0.001167 0.001322
2026-01-11 0.000624 0.000707 0.000801 0.000918 0.001059 0.001225 0.001440
2026-01-18 0.000584 0.000674 0.000779 0.000913 0.001080 0.001285 0.001560
2026-01-25 0.000628 0.000742 0.000880 0.001062 0.001300 0.001606 0.002041
2026-02-01 0.000580 0.000695 0.000835 0.001024 0.001276 0.001610 0.002100
2026-02-08 0.000544 0.000658 0.000801 0.000996 0.001262 0.001624 0.002172
2026-02-15 0.000518 0.000633 0.000780 0.000983 0.001268 0.001664 0.002282
2026-02-22 0.000490 0.000604 0.000751 0.000959 0.001255 0.001675 0.002349
2026-03-01 0.000461 0.000572 0.000717 0.000925 0.001224 0.001657 0.002368
2026-03-08 0.000442 0.000554 0.000700 0.000913 0.001225 0.001685 0.002462
2026-03-15 0.000423 0.000534 0.000680 0.000895 0.001216 0.001698 0.002530
2026-03-22 0.000392 0.000498 0.000639 0.000848 0.001165 0.001649 0.002506
2026-03-29 0.000369 0.000471 0.000610 0.000818 0.001139 0.001639 0.002548
2026-04-05 0.000353 0.000455 0.000595 0.000808 0.001141 0.001674 0.002674
2026-04-12 0.000341 0.000443 0.000585 0.000804 0.001153 0.001726 0.002836
2026-04-19 0.000367 0.000486 0.000656 0.000929 0.001383 0.002175 0.003848
2026-04-26 0.000348 0.000463 0.000628 0.000896 0.001349 0.002151 0.003885
2026-05-03 0.000332 0.000445 0.000607 0.000873 0.001328 0.002149 0.003972
2026-05-10 0.000321 0.000432 0.000594 0.000863 0.001330 0.002189 0.004157
2026-05-17 0.000308 0.000416 0.000576 0.000843 0.001312 0.002189 0.004251
2026-05-24 0.000294 0.000398 0.000553 0.000814 0.001276 0.002152 0.004249
2026-05-31 0.000285 0.000388 0.000542 0.000804 0.001274 0.002183 0.004421